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                California (1976) edited byPeter Gordon and Ross D. Eckert
 Conferenced Proceedings of a Symposium Sponsored by:The Institute for Public Policy Research Center for Public Affairs University
    of Southern California
 April 12, 1976 Table of Contents 
              Introduction to the Online Edition Peter
                  Gordon January, 1998
	            Rail Transit for Southern California:
				                An Expensive Mistake Peter Gordon, Ross D. Eckert
                          Riding the Sunset Coast
                              Line John W. DyckmanDiscussion - Harry
                              W. Richardson
The Case for Rapid Transit:
                              Before and After the Fact Martin Wohl
                          The Case for Bus Rapid
                              Transit in Los Angeles Martin WachsDiscussion - Morris
                              Pardue
What Did We Give Up With
                              the Big Red Cars? George HiltonDiscussion - John
                              Rae
Giving the Plan a Bottom
                              Line, Suggestions for Adding Cost-benefit Comparisons
                              to the California Transportation Plan Ward
                              ElliottDiscussion - Aurelius
                              Morgner
 Discussion - Robert
                              C. Ellickson
 Introduction to the Online EditionBy Peter Gordon January, 1998
 
 It has been more than 20 years since my colleague, Professor Ross D. Eckert
  (deceased since 1994), and I decided to arrange the symposium that produced
  the papers and comments that follow. These papers were never published. They
  are worth reconsidering because of the current state of local transit service.
 
 Ross and I were not the first to be skeptical of rail transit for Los Angeles.
  We did believe, however, that enough relevant research had accumulated for
  a useful airing of views to take place. We almost took it for granted that
  we would, thereby, inform the local policy debate and, perhaps, help the region
  to avoid a big mistake.
 
 I would say that we were less than half right. The Sunset Coast Line transit
  proposal was defeated by the voters in 1976. It is not possible to say that
  our conference prompted this result. In fact, the Sunset Coast Line was just
  one of many rail transit proposals put before Los Angeles voters over the years.
  They had defeated them all but finally supported the one placed on the ballot
  in 1980 (in the form of a dedicated sales tax).
 
 The various plans that followed this victory gave us the rump rail transit
  system that is now being abandoned. As the authors of the following papers
  had predicted, ridership would be low, costs would be high, the enterprise
  would be a waste. Yet, they had no way to predict the amount or the scope of
  waste. In a nutshell, since 1985, transit use in Los Angeles county is down
  by 30% whereas several billions of dollars of rail capacity have been added!
  L.A. transit planners have spent upwards of $7 billion in capital and operating
  subsidies while losing approximately 100 million (net) transit boardings per
  year. This is a 10-year average. Roughly, $7+ per boarding has been spent to
  remove about 1 billion such boardings. The resource transfer has unquestionably
  been regressive. All of this took place while the county's population grew
  by about 12%. The details of this fiasco are available at http://www.publicpurpose.com.
  I leave it to others to decide what our experience suggests for the power of
  ideas when there is pork on the table
 
 The authors' affiliations noted throughout these pages are those that were
  effective at the time of the symposium.
 
 Source: Transportation Alternatives for Southern California Conference Proceedings
  of a Symposium The Institute for Public Policy Research Center for Public Affairs
  University of Southern California April 12, 1976
 
 Copyright 1998 University of Southern California School of Policy, Planning,
  and Development
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